This Week in the World Affairs Brief

TRUMP’S UNILATERAL CEASEFIRE WITH IRAN

On the eave of his threat to destroy Iran with WWII-style carpet bombing of cities, Trump suddenly pulled back and declared a unilateral ceasefire, claiming a deal with Iran was imminent that would open the Strait of Hormuz. I’d like to credit Trump for this rare moment of sanity, but the details are slowly emerging of other pressures on the president to back off. For instance all the major Arab Gulf allies had reportedly called the president and begged him not to engage in large-scale attacks on cities. They knew their cities and infrastructure would be subject to similar retaliation by Iran. Second, Trump was warned the US is running low on high tech missiles and munitions of all types. Strangely, Iran claims that there are no ongoing negotiations with the United States. I hope they are not so bullheaded as to not respond positively to this peace offering from Trump. This is one of the few times Trump does something reasonable. In truth, both the West and Iran need relief from this campaign of mutual destruction. Trump faces the blame again as oil supplies are drying up fast, and Iran certainly needs time to rebuild after the devastating war losses. And yet it is unlikely that Iran will give in on demanding some type of transit fee structure (or toll) to recoup the multiple billions in war losses. Trump’s big obstacle is his refusal to accept anything that he can’t construe as a “win,” and that’s not really possible with this war where Iran refuses unconditional surrender, and requires some benefits out of a peace deal. Trump, in his typical demanding style, says that these new negotiations are Iran’s “last chance” to make a deal. But Trump is also in no place to make time demands as the oil and munitions shortage looms again, for which he will be blamed. To receive a free, one-time copy of the Brief, along with options on how to subscribe, click on Request a Sample on the left.

Also:
  • Fallout from Fauci’s Use of the Fifth Amendment
  • Why Fraud is so Prevalent in Government Welfare Programs

Daily News

Joint Chiefs Chair Pushing For Iran War Off-Ramp, Warning Escalation Will Backfire

ZeroHedge

Last weekend, the US military seemed poised to carry out Trump's threat to unleash “the biggest attack since World War II," but he called it off, at least in part because of profound concerns raised by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Iran had promised to wreak havoc up and down the Gulf. “The only ones in favor of the operation were elements of CENTCOM,” said one source, referring to the Pentagon's Central Command, which is responsible for action in the Middle East. The source also pointed out that Israel also wants escalation of the war.

Ukraine Faces Growing Air Defense Crisis As Patriot Supplies Dwindle

ZeroHedge

Ukraine failed to intercept any of the 24 ballistic missiles and four Zircon cruise missiles Russia fired in the August 5 attack, underscoring the strain on its missile defenses. U.S. Patriot availability has become a significant constraint after extensive interceptor use during the Iran conflict. Kyiv is increasingly seeking European inventories, expanded production, and eventually licensed or joint Patriot manufacturing to secure its air defenses ahead of winter.

How the UAE Has Kept Its Oil Flowing Through Hormuz

Oil Price.com

The UAE, which left OPEC on May 1, has found workarounds to the blockage at the Strait of Hormuz. It has been shuttling crude through the chokepoint to load it on larger vessels outside the Strait, maximizing the use of its onshore pipeline to ship crude from the west to the east of the country, bypassing Hormuz, and shipping tankers through the Strait in dark mode.

Judge Denies Southern Poverty Law Center’s Bid to Dismiss DOJ Indictment

ZeroHedge

The department indicted the SPLC in April on 11 counts of wire fraud, making false statements to a federally insured bank, and conspiracy to commit money laundering. The organization was accused of defrauding donors by funneling millions of dollars to informants who infiltrated white supremacist and hate groups that it publicly opposed.

Iran's Economy Is In Shambles As War Takes Its Toll

ZeroHedge

Despite the bluster from Iranian officials on social media, it should come as no surprise that the country is not doing well economically. From the beginning of the conflict to current day, Iran has been dealt an estimated $270 billion to $300 billion in total damage due to a steady barrage of strikes, including numerous infrastructure targets from bridges, highways, railways, airports, etc.

US Official: Hormuz Deal Is Imminent, Upon Which US Will Lift Blockade Of Iranian Ports

ZeroHedge

US official tells Reuters that US will lift blockade upon Omani deal announcement. Bessent: Hormuz could reopen under a 30-60 day ceasefire as soon as "today or tomorrow." Iran asserts that US & Israeli vessels remain barred until sanctions are lifted and compensation is paid. Trump says the conflict could "end pretty soon," signaling a possible final US exit. Iran remains defiant, pointing out it still has the leverage & can threaten Hormuz. However, the deal could reopen oil flows while strengthening Iran's control over the strait.

Trump Admin Drafting Ban On Chinese Optical Transceivers To Protect Data Centers From Spying

ZeroHedge

These small, pluggable connectors convert electrical signals from servers, switches, and AI chip stacks into light for transmission over fiber-optic cables, then convert the light back into electrical data at the other end. Because these modules are critical to data centers, Chinese-made transceivers could potentially allow Chinese firms to steal data, install malware, or disrupt services at US facilities.

Is It Possible to Make Smart Glasses That Aren’t Creepy?

Wired.com

Privacy advocates bemoaned the addition of cameras to smartphones, just as they argued against cameras going into laptops and other personal tech. The thing about cameras and phones, though, is that the phone still needs to be pulled out, held up, and have its camera activated to capture a photo or film a video. Smart glasses, with small built-in cameras and the user’s ability to obfuscate the recording notification, are much sneakier.

12 Glaring Realities of Marxist Socialism

The Epoch Times

In a free society that embraces free markets and the rule of law, young people must be made aware of the glaring realities regarding the alleged “fuzzy and warm” nature of Marxist (collectivism, communism, progressivism, socialism) iterations. There are at least twelve aspects of the Marxist ideology that are clear and present dangers to democratic nations as well as undemocratic countries. First, Marxism was founded on the stark concept of atheism.

'They Are United': California Democrats Move Forward With 5% Billionaire Tax

ZeroHedge

How These Taxes Usually End Do these people ever learn? Recall New Jersey circa 2016, when a single hedge fund manager's change of address to Florida had Trenton's budget officials publicly sweating over the state's revenue forecast - one guy, one moving truck, one fiscal panic. Recall Illinois' richest resident, Ken Griffin, packing his entire firm off from Chicago to Miami in 2022, taking what was reportedly the state's largest individual tax bill with him. Recall the Pacific Northwest's most famous ex-resident developing a sudden fondness for South Florida in 2023, mere months after Washington's shiny new capital gains tax survived its court challenge - and then unloading billions in stock from the comfort of a state that taxes none of it. Recall the world's richest man decamping California for Texas in 2020, with his companies trailing behind like ducklings.

ID To Buy Gov't Bread & Milk, But Not To Vote: This Is Mamdani's Socialist NYC Utopia

ZeroHedge

Yet New Yorkers still do not have to present voter identification during elections, and the hypocrisy is just off the charts, as this only highlights an inconsistency in the state's approach to identification requirements: ID Required: Shovel snow ID Required: Buy milk and bread at a gov't-run grocery store No ID Required: Voting in elections "We are looking to make sure that we target New Yorkers … sort of a library card-esque thing," one of Mamdani's socialist officials said.

RFK Jr. Steamrolled Dana Bash Over Fauci’s COVID Lies

PJ Media

If Bash thought she could lob a bunch of accusations against Kennedy and he would take it quietly, she was sorely mistaken. Kennedy didn't dodge a single question. He turned every one of them into an indictment of a press corps that spent years demanding blind obedience and calling it science.

How China Is Using Its Coast Guard To Assert Control At Sea

ZeroHedge

... rather than relying solely on the navy, Beijing deploys the Chinese Coast Guard to project control over contested waters in the South China Sea, East China Sea, and around Taiwan. Coast guard vessels regularly patrol disputed areas, escort Chinese fishing fleets, inspect foreign vessels, and employ coercive measures—including water cannons, lasers, blocking maneuvers, and collisions—to challenge rival claimants. They also operate alongside the People's Liberation Army Navy during military exercises, particularly those focused on Taiwan.

Russia Confirms It Has Attacked Over 80 Vessels In The Black Sea In July Alone

ZeroHedge

"According to the ministry, Russian forces struck 24 seagoing vessels used by the Ukrainian military for supplies during the week of July 11-17, including 14 dry cargo ships and one tanker," TASS continnues. Moscow seeks to sever military supply routes and disrupt arms shipments bound for Ukraine, but this has also obviously resulted in damaged and sunken tankers, auxiliary vessels, and even deaths of civilian bystanders among international shipping crew.

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